Predictions:
Top 5 will be -
TOME4 - How can you argue with this? With a steam release and return champ, this one is a well deserved lock.
ADOM - Coming a long nicely and a solid past performer.
Crawl - Another consistent performer.
Cataclysm: Dark Days - I think it will come on strong.
Unreal - Again a classic.
So no surprises in my predictions this year, though Cataclysm has moved up.
For surprises I'd look at Spelunky HD and Rogue Legacy. Two very popular hybrids.